Alpha

Forecast modeling

Train tabular forecast models on Arc Research feature exports, sweep hyperparameters with walk-forward evaluation, publish your own models, and — for admins — promote winners to the platform core forecasts.

Starter + alpha access required

Forecast modeling is a Starter plan alpha. Subscribe to Arc Research Starter, then contact [email protected] or ask Archie (signed in) to submit an access request to the Arc Research admins.

What you can do

  • Create parameter experiments on a training export (e.g. reg_param × standardization).
  • Compare walk-forward metrics against a naive baseline.
  • Publish your own model for your account — does not replace platform forecasts.
  • Admins can promote to core from the model page so scheduled forecast pages use that model.
  • Alpha MCP tools cover export, experiments, publishing your own model, and backtests.

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