Gold Warehouse & Delivery — Week of September 18, 2026

Gold Physical Market Brief — September 18, 2026

Executive summary

  • Delivery pace accelerating: Daily delivery notices for COMEX Gold (GC) reached 303 contracts on September 18, 2026, marking the fourth consecutive session of rising delivery intentions and bringing month-to-date (MTD) deliveries to 3,527 contracts.
  • Firm price realization: The September 2026 contract settled at $4,385.90 USD as physical standing demand expanded into the latter half of the month.
  • Positioning alignment: The physical delivery pickup aligns with strong speculative backing; Managed Money holds a substantial net-long position of 133,116 contracts, showing no immediate divergence between paper sentiment and physical absorption.

Delivery intentions (today + MTD context)

Physical delivery activity on the COMEX platform showed a noticeable late-month acceleration for the September 2026 contract cycle:

  • Daily issuance & stops (September 18, 2026): 303 contracts (30,300 troy oz) were issued and stopped for the SEPTEMBER 2026 COMEX 100 GOLD FUTURES contract at a settlement price of $4,385.90 USD, with delivery scheduled for September 22, 2026.
  • Month-to-date total: Cumulative September deliveries stand at 3,527 contracts.
  • Pace and trend context:
    • Physical demand has surged over the past four active sessions: 70 contracts (Sep 14), 150 contracts (Sep 15), 204 contracts (Sep 16), and 303 contracts (Sep 18).
    • This late-month wave follows an initial First Notice Day spike on September 1 (429 contracts) and a quiet mid-month lull where daily notices dipped as low as 3 contracts (Sep 9) and 8 contracts (Sep 10).
    • While lower than the major August delivery cycle (which exceeded 20,000 contracts), delivery demand for the September intermediate cycle remains persistent.

Warehouse stocks

  • CME does not publish warehouse stocks for this metal in the provided feed. Physical inventory flows (registered vs. eligible stock changes) are therefore unobserved in this reporting period.

COT cross-check

A comparison of positioning against physical delivery flows reveals strong alignment between speculative appetite and physical uptake:

  • Managed Money: Holds 142,394 long positions against just 9,278 short positions, reflecting a heavy net long of 133,116 contracts (a long-to-short ratio exceeding 15:1).
  • Commercials (Producer/Merchant): Maintain a net-short posture of -28,061 contracts (16,396 longs vs. 44,457 shorts).
  • Total Open Interest: Sits at 409,899 contracts.
  • Divergence Assessment: Speculative positioning remains heavily bullish without signs of an immediate physical buyer strike. The late-month increase in physical delivery requests at prices approaching $4,400 suggests that physical buyers are willing to take delivery at prevailing elevated price levels.

Risks and watchpoints

  • Speculative positioning overhang: With Managed Money longs outnumbering shorts by more than 15 to 1, any sudden shift in broader macro sentiment could trigger long liquidation regardless of physical demand.
  • Delivery cycle roll-off: As the September contract nears full expiration, watch whether the delivery momentum sustains or abruptly tapers off.
  • Lack of warehouse inventory data: In the absence of published COMEX depository stock data, monitor off-exchange physical premiums to confirm whether physical tightness or adequate stock availability is driving late-month deliveries.