Gold COT — Week of July 24, 2026
Gold Futures Commitments of Traders - Week ending July 24, 2026
Executive summary
This report covers positioning in Gold futures for the week ending July 24, 2026. Speculative sentiment grew more bullish as Managed Money added significantly to their net long position, reaching one of the highest levels seen this year. This buying occurred alongside a price rally during the reporting period. Commercial-type participants, particularly Swap Dealers, remain heavily net short, providing the liquidity for the speculative length. Overall market participation, as measured by open interest, is stable week-over-week but remains well below the highs seen earlier in the year, and the short side of the market continues to show significant concentration among a few large traders.
Positioning
- Managed Money (Speculators): Net long position increased to +124,831 contracts (141,487 long vs. 16,656 short). This is a strong bullish stance and is approaching the year-to-date highs seen in January (approx. +134k contracts).
- Swap Dealers: Net short position stands at a substantial -193,878 contracts (24,959 long vs. 218,837 short). While still an extreme short, this is a slight reduction from the prior week's -195,639 net short.
- Producer/Merchant (Commercials): Maintained their typical net short (hedging) position at -19,321 contracts (15,561 long vs. 34,882 short), which is little changed from the prior week.
- Other Reportables: Reduced their net long position to +59,079 contracts (83,298 long vs. 24,219 short), a significant decrease from the prior week.
Flows and week-over-week changes
- Managed Money were the primary buyers this week, increasing their net long position by 4,052 contracts. This was driven almost entirely by the addition of new longs (+4,582 contracts), while the short side saw only minor additions (+530 contracts).
- Swap Dealers slightly reduced their net short position, with the change driven by short-covering (-1,979 short contracts) that outweighed a small reduction in longs (-218 contracts).
- Other Reportables were the largest sellers on a net basis. They aggressively cut their long exposure by 7,107 contracts while also trimming 283 short contracts, resulting in a significant reduction of their net long position.
- Non-reportable (Retail) traders added to their net long position, buying 1,724 long contracts and 541 short contracts.
Commercials vs speculators
The classic positioning dynamic is clearly visible. Speculative accounts, led by Managed Money, hold a large net long position of +124,831 contracts. This bullish bet is being facilitated by commercial-type participants who hold large net short positions. - The Producer/Merchant net short of -19,321 contracts reflects physical producers hedging future sales. - The much larger Swap Dealer net short of -193,878 contracts represents dealers taking the other side of speculative, commercial, and ETF-related trades. The combined Producer and Swap Dealer net short position totals over 213,000 contracts, highlighting the deep divide in positioning between speculators and commercials.
Open interest and participation
- Total open interest stood at 383,368 contracts, a negligible change of -321 contracts from the prior week.
- While stable week-over-week, current open interest is significantly lower than the peak of over 527,000 contracts seen in January 2026, suggesting a general decline in market participation since then.
- The market shows notable concentration on the short side. The largest 4 traders hold 34.6% of the net short position, and the largest 8 traders control 50.1% of the net short position. This indicates that a small number of entities, likely dealers, are the dominant short-sellers. Concentration on the long side is less pronounced (28.9% for the top 8 traders).
Price context
The provided price series shows that the front-month Gold contract rallied during the reporting week. - The closing price on the prior report's as-of-date (July 17) was 4017.2. - By this report's as-of-date (July 24), the price had risen to 4068.0. - The positioning changes, particularly the +4,582 new long contracts from Managed Money, occurred during a period of rising prices. This is consistent with trend-following behavior or specs adding to winning positions.
Risks and watchpoints
- Crowded Speculative Longs: The Managed Money net long position is elevated. While this reflects strong bullish conviction, it also represents a potential source of selling pressure if sentiment were to reverse, potentially accelerating any price correction.
- Swap Dealer Short Exposure: The massive -193,878 contract net short held by Swap Dealers is a key risk. While they are hedged in other ways, a sustained and sharp price rally could force significant short-covering, creating a "short squeeze" dynamic.
- Divergence in Selling: The significant net selling from the "Other Reportables" category this week (-7,390 contracts net) stands in contrast to the buying from Managed Money. Monitoring whether this divergence continues will be important for gauging broader institutional sentiment.