Takeaway
The speaker argues that the recent Fed-induced pullback in precious metals is a significant buying opportunity for the rest of the year. After being flat since the end of August, the presenter is now aggressively re-entering long positions in precious metals futures and equities, viewing the current dip as a temporary reaction before a strong rebound.
What the presenter said
- The market had a knee-jerk reaction to the Fed's announcement, with the stock market and oil reacting. [00:12]
- The speaker was long every precious metal equity and futures at the beginning of August, got out at the end of August, and has been waiting for this opportunity. [00:05]
- Precious metals (gold, silver, platinum) came lower, going down with the tide. [00:38]
- The speaker believes the precious metals' story will turn and go right back up. [00:44]
- They have started re-entering positions in precious metals over the last couple of days and will now be aggressive. [01:15]
- The speaker is very bullish on precious metals, suggesting the next couple of days may present the best opportunity for the rest of the year. [01:50, 01:57]
- If related equities go lower and then turn, the presenter believes the next move can be "a lot higher" as weak hands will have been shaken out. [01:35]
Trade ideas
- Instrument: Precious Metals (Gold, Silver, Platinum) and related equities (Pan American Silver, Coeur d'Alene, EXK)
- Direction: Long
- Entry: Aggressive entry over the next couple of days.
- Target: "A lot higher" (unspecified)
- Stop: Not stated
- Horizon: Medium-term (for the rest of the year)
- Conviction: High
Levels and data cited
- Oil: Currently around $102, recent high was $105.
- Gold: Currently back down to $4300.
- Silver: Currently back down to $63.
- Pan American Silver (PAAS): Currently $47.56.
- Coeur d'Alene (CDE): Currently $18.98.
- EXK: Currently $9.53.
Risks and what would invalidate this
- The presenter notes that precious metals may extend lower before turning higher.