Silver COT — Week of April 24, 2026
Silver Futures Positioning: Week Ending April 24, 2026
Executive summary
This report covers positioning changes in the Silver futures market for the week ending April 21, 2026. The key development was a significant reduction in bullish sentiment among Managed Money accounts, who cut their net long position by over 2,400 contracts. This shift, comprising both long liquidation and fresh short-selling, coincided with a notable price decline during the reporting period. Overall market participation, as measured by Open Interest, remains subdued and near the lowest levels seen in the past several months. While speculators trimmed their long exposure, Commercials (Producers/Merchants) and Swap Dealers remain the dominant short-holders, with their positions being far less extreme than the peaks observed earlier in the year.
Positioning
- Managed Money: The speculative Managed Money cohort holds a net long position of +8,868 contracts. This is a substantial decrease from +11,270 contracts last week and is significantly below the peak net long of +21,887 contracts seen in late December 2025. Current bullish positioning is considerably more moderate.
- Producer/Merchant: Commercial participants are net short -16,417 contracts, a deeply entrenched position reflecting producer hedging. This is a slight reduction in their net short from the prior week and remains well below the peak net short position of over -26,000 contracts recorded in early January.
- Swap Dealers: This category holds the largest net short position at -24,568 contracts, an increase in their short exposure from the prior week. Swap dealers often absorb the long side of speculative interest.
- Non-reportable (Retail): Smaller traders remain firmly bullish with a net long position of +17,265 contracts, the largest net long position among all categories.
Flows and week-over-week changes
- Managed Money was the primary driver of change, reducing their net long position by -2,402 contracts. This was a bearish combination of cutting long exposure (-1,416 contracts) and adding new shorts (+986 contracts).
- Swap Dealers increased their net short position by -1,191 contracts, primarily by adding to their short book (+777 contracts).
- Producer/Merchants were relatively inactive, making a minor adjustment that increased their net position by +339 contracts.
- The overall market saw a slight reduction in total contracts, with Open Interest falling by -1,521 contracts.
Commercials vs speculators
The classic market structure persists, with speculators (Managed Money and Non-reportables) pitted against commercial and institutional hedgers. - Speculative Net Position: The combined net long of Managed Money and Non-reportables stands at +26,133 contracts. - Commercial/Swap Net Position: The combined net short of Producers/Merchants and Swap Dealers is -40,985 contracts. The reduction in the Managed Money net long this week suggests a weakening of speculative conviction, bringing the balance of positions slightly more in line. The fact that Producer shorts are far from their highs of ~30,700 contracts could imply that producers are less aggressive in their hedging at current price levels compared to earlier in the year.
Open interest and participation
- Total Open Interest stands at 115,462 contracts. This is near the lowest levels in the provided data, which saw a peak of 157,391 contracts in early January 2026. The significant drop since January indicates a substantial exit of capital and a lack of strong directional conviction in the market.
- The number of total traders has also declined from a high of 240 in late December to just 157 in the current report, reinforcing the theme of lower participation.
- Concentration: The short side remains highly concentrated. The four largest traders hold a net short position equivalent to 26.6% of total Open Interest, and the eight largest traders hold 40.1%. This is typical for a market where large commercial and banking entities are the primary sellers.
Price context
The price data provided offers crucial context for the week's positioning changes. The reporting period covers price action up to Tuesday, April 21. - During the reporting week, the front-month Silver contract price fell from a close of 79.58 on April 14 to 76.50 on April 21, a decline of approximately 3.9%. - The bearish flows from Managed Money (liquidating longs, adding shorts) are highly consistent with this price decline, suggesting they were either stopped out of positions or actively positioning for further weakness. - From a broader perspective, the market experienced a dramatic price drop from a peak above 118 in late January to a low below 68 in mid-March. The subsequent recovery to the 75-80 range has occurred in a low Open Interest environment.
Risks and watchpoints
- Speculative Positioning: While Managed Money turned more bearish this week, their net long position of +8,868 is not at a historical low. This suggests that while recent longs have been "washed out," there isn't an extreme build-up of speculative shorts that would signal a contrarian buy signal.
- Low Open Interest: The subdued level of market participation is a key watchpoint. It implies that a strong directional catalyst could lead to a rapid expansion in Open Interest and increased volatility as new capital enters the market.
- Commercial Hedging: Monitor the Producer/Merchant short position. A significant increase in their short selling could act as a strong headwind against any potential price rally, while continued light hedging could provide less resistance.